Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
56 Middle Tennessee 100.0%   12   29 - 4 17 - 1 29 - 4 17 - 1 +9.6      +4.7 59 +4.9 56 60.4 325 +11.7 40 +12.8 1
101 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   21 - 10 14 - 4 21 - 10 14 - 4 +4.3      +2.2 109 +2.0 106 69.0 137 +1.9 132 +4.5 2
131 Old Dominion 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 +1.7      -2.8 242 +4.5 64 55.6 347 +2.1 126 +1.5 3
155 Marshall 0.0%   19 - 15 10 - 8 19 - 15 10 - 8 +0.5      +3.8 70 -3.3 263 90.4 3 +1.0 144 -0.8 6
158 Rice 0.0%   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +0.4      +2.0 115 -1.6 218 77.0 21 +0.5 148 -0.1 5
193 UAB 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 -1.6      -0.7 189 -0.9 199 65.1 246 -1.2 182 -2.5 8
195 UTEP 0.0%   14 - 17 12 - 6 14 - 17 12 - 6 -1.7      -2.5 235 +0.8 147 62.8 292 -3.6 222 +1.2 4
229 Western Kentucky 0.0%   15 - 17 9 - 9 15 - 17 9 - 9 -4.3      -1.1 196 -3.2 261 63.6 274 -2.9 213 -1.7 7
237 Charlotte 0.0%   12 - 17 7 - 11 12 - 17 7 - 11 -4.7      -1.0 195 -3.7 276 77.2 20 -3.8 225 -5.5 10
257 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -5.5      -6.4 320 +0.8 146 67.4 194 -5.0 241 -4.4 9
271 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   8 - 20 6 - 12 8 - 20 6 - 12 -6.7      -3.9 272 -2.8 250 68.4 156 -7.8 284 -6.8 11
276 Florida International 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 15 5 - 24 3 - 15 -6.9      -1.6 213 -5.3 304 62.7 293 -12.8 331 -12.4 13
315 North Texas 0.0%   6 - 22 2 - 16 6 - 22 2 - 16 -10.3      -5.9 311 -4.4 293 71.9 79 -12.0 328 -14.7 14
316 Southern Miss 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 12 7 - 22 6 - 12 -10.4      -8.4 334 -1.9 227 63.8 269 -10.2 312 -7.0 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Middle Tennessee 1.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 2.0 100.0
Old Dominion 3.0 100.0
Marshall 6.0 100.0
Rice 5.0 100.0
UAB 7.0 100.0
UTEP 3.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Charlotte 10.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 9.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 11.0 100.0
Florida International 13.0 100.0
North Texas 14.0 100.0
Southern Miss 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Middle Tennessee 17 - 1 100.0
Louisiana Tech 14 - 4 100.0
Old Dominion 12 - 6 100.0
Marshall 10 - 8 100.0
Rice 11 - 7 100.0
UAB 9 - 9 100.0
UTEP 12 - 6 100.0
Western Kentucky 9 - 9 100.0
Charlotte 7 - 11 100.0
Texas San Antonio 8 - 10 100.0
Florida Atlantic 6 - 12 100.0
Florida International 3 - 15 100.0
North Texas 2 - 16 100.0
Southern Miss 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Middle Tennessee 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana Tech
Old Dominion
Marshall
Rice
UAB
UTEP
Western Kentucky
Charlotte
Texas San Antonio
Florida Atlantic
Florida International
North Texas
Southern Miss


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Middle Tennessee 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.9 3.1 9.4 46.2 40.3 0.1
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Middle Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 26.6% 6.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 26.6% 0.3 73.4 26.6
Sweet Sixteen 6.2% 0.1 93.8 6.2
Elite Eight 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0